The most surprising scientific failures

Lord Kelvin

The magazine Science News has published an article entitled Here are the 10 ten times scientific imagination failed, either because it fell short, or because it went too far, with respect to what it was logical to imagine. The study begins by quoting Albert Einstein:

Imagination is more important than knowledge... Imagination embraces the entire world, stimulating progress.

Tom Siegfried, author of the article, adds:

And yet while sometimes spectacularly successful, imagination has also frequently failed in ways that retard the revealing of nature’s secrets. Some minds, it seems, are simply incapable of imagining that there’s more to reality than what they already know.

Then he specifies one by one the 10 cases where, according to him, the imagination of scientists fell short or went too far. This is the list, from most to least important (according to Siegfried):

Solar energy and thermal pollution

A previous post in this blog stated that if 100% of the energy used by man came from solar energy, the Earth would warm up, and although air pollution and the greenhouse effect would decrease, there would still be thermal pollution. Can we give figures? By how much would the Earth's temperature rise in that case?

According to various sources ([1] and [2]), world power consumption by humans is currently about 18.5 Terawatts (18.5 trillion watts). To find the energy consumed during a given period of time, we should just multiply this figure by the given time. For example, the total energy expenditure during a non-leap year, expressed in Terawatt-hours, will be found by multiplying 18.5 by 365 and by 24 (the number of hours in a year), which is equal to about 162,000 Terawatts-hour.

Compatible, incompatible, possible, impossible

I wish to clarify the four concepts of the title, which are sometimes confused when talking about physical theories and their application:

• An event (real or imagined) can be compatible with a theory. In this case, if the event were real, it would not pose any problem for the theory, which admits in principle the possibility of that event taking place.

The recovery of extinct species

Since genetic engineering began, in the last quarter of the 20th century, the idea arose of the possible recovery of extinct species. In 1990, Michael Crichton published his famous novel Jurassic Park, which is based on the practical realization of this idea to reconstruct various species of dinosaurs and set up with them a very special zoo. I talked about this novel in this previous post, and in this one.