Showing posts with label scientific models. Show all posts
Showing posts with label scientific models. Show all posts

Thursday, March 12, 2020

Scientific models: adjustment or validation?

Leonard Nimoy
as Mr. Spock
One of the ways in which science advances is by building models, which are often made up of more or less complex sets of mathematical equations, and trying to verify whether or not these models adapt to the functioning of the real world, as described by our senses and our instruments.
When building and using a model we must consider two distinct phases:
  • Model adjustment: it consists of assigning values ​​to the parameters of the model to ensure that it fits the data we already have about the real world. A model not adjusted to such prior knowledge would be totally useless.
  • Model validation: it consists of using the model to make surprising predictions that nobody could have foreseen without the help of the model. If these predictions are confirmed, they become surprising accurate predictions, validating the model. However, the validation is never final, for a new surprising inaccurate prediction could invalidate it in the future.
Let's look at a few examples: