Hans Rosling |
Hans Rosling
(1948-2017) was a Swedish doctor in medicine, who worked in the Karolinska
Institute and investigated certain rare tropical diseases such as konzo, which proved to be a food
contamination with cyanide. He was one of the founders of the Gapminder Foundation, which
specializes in the analysis and dissemination of little-known data and in carrying
out surveys to discover the degree of popular knowledge about economic,
sociological, and highly topical worldwide issues.
In 2018 appeared his
posthumous book, Factfulness, dedicated
to explaining some of the discoveries of the Gapminder Foundation about the
ignorance of many people on important issues, an ignorance which has spread a
vision of reality very different from that provided by the data.
In 2017, the
Gapminder Foundation conducted a survey among 12,000 people, citizens of
fourteen so-called rich countries.
Participants had to answer twelve questions. For each question, the survey provided
three possible alternative answers. Therefore, if someone answered this survey
in a purely random manner, the number of correct answers would be, on average,
equal to 4 (12/3).
Initially, the test
consisted of 13 questions, but one of them was eliminated from the results
because it was too easy (87% of the participants guessed correctly).
I will not comment on
the questions, because I don’t want to give clues to solve them. Anyone can still
access the test and check their level of knowledge or beliefs about the twelve
questions. The test can be done here.
When I did it, I got 8 correct answers for the 13 questions (7 for the final
12, one half plus one).
I recommend that, if
you wish to perform the test, do so before looking at the results of the
survey, which can be viewed here.
The average of hits of those who made the original test turned out to be 2.2, a
little more than one half of the random result. 14% of the participants did not get a single hit. 80% guessed
less than 4, therefore worse than a random choice. Only 10% got more than 4 correct
answers (and so they were above the random level). None of the participants gave the 12 correct
answers. Just one got 11 hits (all but one).
The 14 countries
where the survey was conducted were South Korea, United States, Sweden,
Australia, Canada, Norway, Japan, United Kingdom, Finland, Germany, Hungary,
Spain, France and Belgium, in order of correct results. The Koreans got the
best (23% of correct answers). The last were the Belgians, with 15%. Therefore,
the level of ignorance of the inhabitants of all these countries turned out to
be quite similar. As a comparison, if the test were answered randomly, an
average of 33.3% of correct answers would be obtained.
Of the 12 questions, just one was answered correctly above the random
level, although just barely (37%). The other 11 were below that level.
Two of them got less than 10% correct answers.
It seems therefore that
we know very little about the world around us because we are full of preconceived ideas that obscure
our reflective capacity and make us blind to the data. Now that
the Internet puts a huge amount of data at our disposal, much greater than what
has been available to anyone until a few years ago, are we making a proper use
of it? Perhaps not.The same post in Spanish
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Manuel Alfonseca
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