Thursday, October 28, 2021

The end of science?

The magazine Science News has just turned 100 years old. It began with the year 1922. From the beginning, it has numbered its magazines by semesters, rather than years, so the issues of the second half of 2021 bear the number 200. It is one of the longest-lived magazines of scientific information in existence. But its evolution in recent decades is worrying, and does not bring us to be optimistic about the current state of world science.

  • Until April 2008, the magazine was published every week, with 16 pages and a relatively large number of news items. In the first half of 2007, the 26 issues of the magazine contained 416 news items, which gives an average of 16 news items per issue. This is equivalent to more than one news item per page, as from the beginning a part of the pages of each magazine were used for advertising.
  • Since 2008, and until mid-2017, the magazine became biweekly, but 32 pages each, so it seemed that the change had not affected the content. But looking at what was published in the first half of 2015, we can see that the 13 issues of the magazine contain 278 news items, which shows a decrease of 33% and an average of 21.3 news per issue, rather than 32, which would have been needed to maintain the 2007 proportion. The explanation that the number of news items has decreased, while the total number of pages remains constant, is that more space (text and images) was dedicated to each news item.
  • As of mid-2017, maintaining the fortnightly periodicity, the number of magazines per semester was reduced to 11, because two double numbers were introduced, which counted as two publications, and thus the fortnightly periodicity became sometimes monthly, with more pages (52 per double number), although not twice as many (64), as would have been necessary to maintain the proportion. In the first half of 2021, the 11 issues of the magazine contained 216 news items, which shows an additional decrease of 22% and an average of 19.6 news items per issue, a result that was obtained, again, by increasing the average size of news, many of which take one or more pages, while until 2008 the amount of news with that length was much smaller.

It seems, therefore, that Science News cannot find now the number of scientific news per semester that it found 14 years ago, but almost half, so it must reduce the number of publications and increase the size of each news item.

If we add the continuous increase of the number of news that does not really correspond to current discoveries, but to unverified simulations as in this article (9/21/2021 in Science News) or simple future possibilities (perhaps this could happen…), or to studies to discover whether ancient or modern scientists are or were racist, gay, anti-gay, or womanizing, and that some of the other news are, basically, platitudinous discoveries as in this article (7/12/2021 in Science News), the number of scientific news proper seems to have plummeted in the last 14 years.

If we take into account that many of the news being published now, rather than scientific, are technological, and that technology still continues to advance, either by inertia (due to the application of scientific discoveries from previous decades), or because technological advances never stop completely, the current prospects for science seem worrying.

In this context, the reduction in the content and requirements of scientific subjects in elementary and secondary education, together with the introduction of ideological indoctrination (usually anti-scientific), even in Mathematics, is not good news. In California, for instance, they intend to change mathematical teaching, for a teacher correcting a student's mistakes is a form of white supremacy, mathematics is not objective, and there are no really correct or wrong answers. Something similar is about to take place in Spain.

The problem is not that science is dying. We are actually killing it.

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Manuel Alfonseca

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