Can history be quantified?

Can the history of culture be quantified? I believe many historians would answer this question in the negative. The prevailing view seems to be that historical events are unique and unrepeatable, and any attempt to discover laws or recurring patterns in these phenomena is usually met with extreme suspicion. Let us remember as an example the antagonistic reaction provoked by works such as The Decline of the West by the German philosopher and historian Oswald Spengler, or A Study of History by the British historian Arnold Joseph Toynbee, whose conclusions, however, were based on qualitative analysis. It is not surprising, therefore, that to find true quantifiers of history, one must turn to authors who were not professional historians.

Historical quantification of violence

Auchswitz

In a recent conference that I heard, the speaker said that in recent times violence in the world has decreased a lot. She added that many people have the feeling that it is the other way around, that we have now more violence than ever before. Is what she said true, or is what people think true?

Let’s start by defining violence. The Encyclopedia Britannica defines it like this: An act of physical force that causes or is intended to cause harm.