tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.comments2024-03-07T01:02:50.463-08:00 Popular ScienceManuel Alfonsecahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comBlogger112125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-9044398733329167452021-06-10T11:09:04.202-07:002021-06-10T11:09:04.202-07:00More data about side effects of the vaccines:
In ...More data about side effects of the vaccines:<br /><br />In USA, cardiac disorders: <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/myocarditis.html" rel="nofollow">https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/myocarditis.html</a><br /><br />In UK, all disorders:<br />Pfizer vaccine: <a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/990930/COVID-19_Pfizer_Vaccine_Analysis_Print_26.05.2021.pdf" rel="nofollow">https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/990930/COVID-19_Pfizer_Vaccine_Analysis_Print_26.05.2021.pdf</a><br />AstraZeneca vaccine: <a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/990932/COVID-19_AstraZeneca_Vaccine_Analysis_Print_26.05.2021.pdf" rel="nofollow">https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/990932/COVID-19_AstraZeneca_Vaccine_Analysis_Print_26.05.2021.pdf</a>Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-64575818098394468182020-06-05T16:05:54.929-07:002020-06-05T16:05:54.929-07:00interesting indeed! There are some good books on t...interesting indeed! There are some good books on this topic--by Levenson, and another by Baum & Sheehan.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15082670841802895556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-67885623371371814672020-04-17T04:32:06.412-07:002020-04-17T04:32:06.412-07:00The Spanish Ministry of Health appears to have los...The Spanish Ministry of Health appears to have lost control of the pandemic data in Spain. See what they have done in the last few days:<br /><br />a) According to data published on 4/16, the cumulative number of deaths in Spain was 19,130 that day. The data are here: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/en/profesionales/saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_77_COVID-19.pdf<br /><br />b) According to the data published on 04/17, the accumulated number of deceased was that day equal to 19,478. The difference with the previous day was, therefore, 348. However, the number of deaths in the previous day provided by the Ministry is 585. The data is here: https://www.mscbs.gob.es/en/profesionales /saludPublica/ccayes/alertasActual/nCov-China/documentos/Actualizacion_78_COVID-19.pdf<br /><br />c) To explain this discrepancy, a footnote indicates that the Generalitat of Catalonia has sharply increased the number of its deceased, so that the Ministry will introduce corrections progressively in the next days.<br /><br />How can one follow the data about the pandemic and make predictions, if the meaning of the data is changed every few days? This is the second time they've done it; a few days ago, they started to count asymptomatic people who had been detected through tests, but who hadn't been considered before, as tests were not available. This led to an upwards jump of some 2,000 new cases detected per day, which is not due to a flare-up of the pandemic, but rather to the fact that data collection rules have been changed.<br /><br />In order to draw consequences from statistical data and make valid predictions, rules should not be changed every few days. If this is done, the data have no predictive value.<br />Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-62667774581666837232020-04-10T01:38:07.472-07:002020-04-10T01:38:07.472-07:00Another mistake, taken from a press headline dated...Another mistake, taken from a press headline dated today (4/10): "The Ministry of Health waited a week before deciding the urgent protection of old people residences." Thousands of old people in residences have died.Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-32240584942085432082020-04-09T23:52:24.354-07:002020-04-09T23:52:24.354-07:00Mistakes: Buying thousands of tests and having to ...Mistakes: Buying thousands of tests and having to return them because they gave 30% correct results. Forbidding the regional governements to buy material, because the government of the country wanted to keep all the strings in their hands, and then doing nothing.<br /><br />There are many more, but this is a good sample.<br /><br />Reckless decisions: Allowing the feminist demonstrations on March 8, in spite of warnings against it, even by the WHO, because of ideological reasons. After the mass meetings, the rate of contagion escalated. Five days later, they had to order us confined.Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-19367633540098423512020-04-09T14:29:47.671-07:002020-04-09T14:29:47.671-07:00Thanks for this interesting article, gentlemen.
Pl...Thanks for this interesting article, gentlemen.<br />Please can you give a few more details on the "mistakes" and "reckless decisions" to help the rest of us to avoid them?+pbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05068491709025655181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-16052760889730601582020-03-10T10:44:31.936-07:002020-03-10T10:44:31.936-07:00"nail on the head" !"nail on the head" !Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15082670841802895556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-27319752058030298162020-02-29T08:57:55.871-08:002020-02-29T08:57:55.871-08:00I have rewritten the text to explain in more detai...I have rewritten the text to explain in more detail what I meant.Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-89586164811652232382020-02-29T06:58:14.400-08:002020-02-29T06:58:14.400-08:00Thanks again, Manuel, for a neat and useful piece!...Thanks again, Manuel, for a neat and useful piece!<br />Just a niggling point: The English word "globe" is never used to mean a balloon (like the Spanish "globo"), so better to write, "...think about the surface of an inflating balloon"+pbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05068491709025655181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-35573237532380010712020-02-08T00:09:00.319-08:002020-02-08T00:09:00.319-08:00Thanks for the link. On the next two weeks I'l...Thanks for the link. On the next two weeks I'll add a few more comments on the subject.Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-80455437228661148752020-02-07T15:01:00.167-08:002020-02-07T15:01:00.167-08:00More at
#JamesTourOriginOfLife on YouTube. More at<br />#JamesTourOriginOfLife on YouTube. +pbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05068491709025655181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-56938372712445845792020-02-07T14:39:06.692-08:002020-02-07T14:39:06.692-08:00Thank you, Manuel for this summary.
Here's Dr...Thank you, Manuel for this summary.<br /><br />Here's Dr. James Tour explaining just how far scientists are from creating even the simplest cell. And how unlikely that life could ever have arisen in the way the media have been telling us for the past 50+ years.<br /><br />Educational and very entertaining.<br /><br />https://youtu.be/H2V4tvOjCsE<br />+pbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05068491709025655181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-17491834230916029912020-01-31T19:44:45.385-08:002020-01-31T19:44:45.385-08:00While I do find reviews sometimes of help to me in...While I do find reviews sometimes of help to me in deciding whether I book is of interest - I do use the author and publishers blurbs of somewhat more use and the author themselves based on other works I have read.<br />Massive erudite reviews may sway me in either direction - as do short ones. For subjects that are interest to me a short negative review may cause me to acquire the book - for if ones beliefs are not challenged and the challenge cannot be refuted...... well.<br /><br />Señor Alfonseco - please keep publishing your announcements. Even if I can't always follow your logic immediately, they do cause me to think and that is always a good thing!Clinthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09628182101730718216noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-74524257103385154832020-01-24T09:29:07.179-08:002020-01-24T09:29:07.179-08:00You can find some support for your quote in this a...You can find some support for your quote in this article in the Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fire_ecologyManuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-70714377589699363012020-01-24T05:47:51.100-08:002020-01-24T05:47:51.100-08:00I cannot find the supporting data for the followin...I cannot find the supporting data for the following statement except from my memory. If I am incorrect, please direct me to that documentation.<br />Smokey the Bear has been the cause of more severe fires in the US due to allowing underbrush to accumulate and the disruption of several trees natural life cycles that are triggered by natural fires.<br /><br />Great quote from Samuel Clemens for the situation we as a species have gotten ourselves into!Clinthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09628182101730718216noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-60657011400811386962020-01-01T07:38:48.137-08:002020-01-01T07:38:48.137-08:00While I enjoy many of the new science fiction writ...While I enjoy many of the new science fiction writers of today - I also find that many of my favorites also come from the "Golden Age" of Science Fiction ( possible due to the fact that I myself hail from near that time and read those same novels ). Clinthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09628182101730718216noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-14071669659282265922019-12-12T15:22:29.819-08:002019-12-12T15:22:29.819-08:00Scientists live longer and so the senior positions...Scientists live longer and so the senior positions that can do the cutting edge stuff don't open up.Mary Catellihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16769948263567169424noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-44332077334956367782019-12-01T03:35:23.097-08:002019-12-01T03:35:23.097-08:00According to Muller (1966) life is defined as &quo...According to Muller (1966) life is defined as "the capacity for reproduction." According to this, a nucleic acid would be alive. But current research tends to consider nucleic acids as hard drives containing information (<a href="http://populscience.blogspot.com/2018/04/evolution-21-century.html" rel="nofollow">Evolution in the twenty-first century</a>), therefore nucleic acids wouldn't be alive, according to Maynard Smith's definition (1995): "life combines reproduction and metabolism." According to this definition life would begin with a large genome size (your figure of 1000 bp seems reasonable) and the origin of life should be sought around 10 steps further in the exponential growth.Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-90058630497215058782019-12-01T01:20:29.580-08:002019-12-01T01:20:29.580-08:00:-) Also, there is the genome size that would defi...:-) Also, there is the genome size that would define life. 1000 bp is reasonable, given virus genome sizes today. I don't think 1 base pair is life. Their (Sharov/Gordon) definition of the beginning of life may be flawed, and self-replicating DNA or RNA may have developed faster from the single nucleotide level than their model predicts.Stephen Korsmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15877899123383708251noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-75998001022200448162019-12-01T01:12:02.207-08:002019-12-01T01:12:02.207-08:00Interesting. I'll read them. From a perfunctor...Interesting. I'll read them. From a perfunctory observation of the images in the third paper, it seems that the beginning of life on Earth is just marginally allowed by the model, as it's located in the limit of the 95% prediction region.Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-89958773436355028952019-12-01T00:40:11.610-08:002019-12-01T00:40:11.610-08:00Regarding the implications of Moore's law, you...Regarding the implications of Moore's law, you may be interested in the following. The first two postulate that Moore's law shows that life is older than the earth; the 3rd is a rebuttal.<br /><br />Genome increase as a clock for the origin and evolution of life.<br />Sharov, A. A. (2006). Genome increase as a clock for the origin and evolution of life. Biology Direct, 1, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1186/1745-6150-1-17<br />https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16768805<br /><br />Life Before Earth<br />Sharov, A. A., & Gordon, R. (2013). Life Before Earth. Retrieved from http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.3381<br /><br />Earth before life.<br />Marzban, C., Viswanathan, R., & Yurtsever, U. (2014). Earth before life. Biology Direct, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/1745-6150-9-1<br />https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24405803<br />Stephen Korsmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15877899123383708251noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-22068855835147133292019-11-07T10:46:12.509-08:002019-11-07T10:46:12.509-08:00You can see the logistic curve in this post:
Malth...You can see the logistic curve in this post:<br /><a href="https://populscience.blogspot.com/2015/12/malthuss-mistake.html" rel="nofollow">Malthus's mistake</a>Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-17080164376825158952019-11-07T10:36:53.731-08:002019-11-07T10:36:53.731-08:00Interesting! Thanks, Manuel!
PS.
logistics curve =...Interesting! Thanks, Manuel!<br />PS.<br />logistics curve = logarithmic curve?+pbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05068491709025655181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-29686661666836412062019-10-31T09:50:22.489-07:002019-10-31T09:50:22.489-07:00You have hit the nail on the head!You have hit the nail on the head!Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15082670841802895556noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3428850841046457972.post-16789770825495991692019-09-05T04:34:42.638-07:002019-09-05T04:34:42.638-07:00I have updated the tables with data corresponding ...I have updated the tables with data corresponding to another lapse of five years (2010-2014). As the current lapse (2014-2019) has not ended, I'll do the update around January 2020.Manuel Alfonsecahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12774826547519124306noreply@blogger.com